US President Donald Trump is suffering from the corona virus on one side, and on the other hand, the episode of George Floyd has surrounded him badly. He is sleepless with agitation. Will he be able to succeed in this year's election? Pre-election opinion polls ring alarm bells. In such a situation, on May 26, Trump made a tweet which is being read that he would not leave the presidential chair if he loses the election, that is, he will not accept the results easily. And this will create a constitutional crisis in America. The transfer of power to the United States so far has been with good conduct. The losing candidate congratulates the winner even before the result is declared.
Why the question that Trump will not lose? If you do not move, what will you do? The skeptical world thinks that on November 3, 2020, there will be a major accident in the world's oldest democracy. Perhaps a 'successful democracy' will stand on its head - a constitutional crisis that is not possible to solve and that has never been thought of before. Suppose the power goes out while counting votes. If the boxes are changed or some other tricky trick happens, you cannot even think about it today.
What is the problem?
Maybe Trump is doing something wrong. His tweet was regarding the mail-in ballot, ie postal ballots. Mail-in ballets are quite common in America. Due to Corona virus, this time it seems that many people will use mail-in ballet. Trump wrote in his tweet, "It is impossible (zero) that mail-in ballets will not contain fraud." Mail boxes will be looted, fake ballets will be made and fake ballets will be raided and inserted. There will be rigging in the election…. '
This tweet is giving birth to an egg. Trump's tweets are often baseless, but he also expresses his mood. He has neither praised nor drawn anyone this time, but has raised questions about the American election system. Is this question valid? The way questions arise about EVMs in India, almost the same. But the question of EVMs in India arose when there were complaints of booth capturing. Now Trump is putting the same allegations on the system as capturing Booth. Is this a reasonable charge?
True, Trump is not at fault in making the allegations. In 2016, he said that 30 to 50 lakh fake votes were cast in the presidential election. It is a matter of fact that despite this he won. But if he loses this time, won't he accuse? Why the charges, can we do anything further? Mail-in ballets usually come in urban areas and mostly in favor of Democrats. Their count lasts for several days. Earlier their number was not very much, but maybe this time it will happen. Maybe it is enough to turn the bet. There is a reason Trump is describing a situation that may arise. He is not only challenging the electoral system of his country, but is also declaring that if the contest is a thorn, then this time there will be some major manipulation in the American system. Many experts are upset about this phenomenon.
Will he lose?
Behind Trump's victory in 2016 were his wins in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. Among them, his winning margin was less than 70,000. This time it may be that Trump is winning in these states with a very small margin and the result of the change in the count of mail-in ballets. So will Trump accept the results? There were also talk of foreign interference in the 2016 election. The background of impeachment against Trump earlier this year in Parliament was also linked to the presidential election. Now, after the corona epidemic, the situation is worse, so questions are being raised about dirty tricks in the elections.
These days, Amherst College Professor Lawrence Douglas' book Will He Go? He mentions a Cinario in which Trump has lost and is unwilling to step down. The book also envisages the constitutional anarchy associated with Trump's election. Lawrence Douglas feels that America's constitutional system is not ready for such moments.
They feel that the structural fault of the plant was behind Russia's Chernobyl nuclear accident, similarly the US constitutional system lacks the ability to deal with such situations. We will have to see what rights and laws the federal system has that will overcome this Naiya. We have a President at the moment who, if defeated by a small margin, will not give up. But the chances are that the decision is going to be made by a very small margin. This time also three states will be decisive. Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Election Meltdown!
These questions have also been raised by Professor Richard Hasen of law and political science in his book. He warned in Election Meltdown: Dirty Tricks, Distrust and the Threat to American Democracy, that this election will be full of fun. Voters are expected to confuse, intimidate, influence the election machinery and threaten foreign interference. This has happened in the 2016 and 2018 elections and this time it is more than ever. Professor Hasen is counted among the most respected legal practitioners of the country.
One of the many horrors that have been enumerated in this book is that what if a candidate refuses to accept the election results? The author says that I may have expected more, but it is. The fight is thorny, so there is more doubt. Therefore, make sure that the decision is clear.
Therefore, let us decide that the decision should be clear, although it seems that the 2020 battle is going to be a thorn. Twenty years ago, Bush and Algor had a similar thorn. What if Trump loses and refuses to pull out? Will army need help?
Then there are external threats. It also includes terrorist attack. A cyber attack can also occur which affects voting or changes the outcome. Documents involving Joe Biden and his son Hunter and Burisma, a natural gas company in Ukraine, suddenly appear. Some of these documents are fake. Machine disturbances can occur. A Russian hacker can hack the whole system. Some states are about to use the new voting technique. Flaws may arise in them, etc.
Sliding ground
Trump's election prospects are worsening due to the Corona global epidemic and the 'Black Lives Matter' movement. Will he get 270 votes to re-elect him? CNN News has revealed some of the results of last week's poll, which have a look at:
According to a Fox News poll in Arizona, Joe Biden is 46 percent ahead of Trump with 42 percent of the vote.
A Fox News poll in Ohio states that Biden has 45 and Trump 43 percent of the vote.
Fox News polls in Wisconsin show Biden getting 49 and Trump getting 40 percent of the vote.
A poll from Quinnipiac University in Texas polled 44 votes for Trump and 43 percent for Biden.
Arizona is the stronghold of the Republican Party. The last candidate of the Democratic Party who won the presidential election from this area was Bill Clinton, who won from here in the 1996 election. Counting these circumstances, CNN's David Wright says that nearly a dollar has been spent on advertisements in Trump's campaign in Ohio, Wisconsin and Arizona this year, but the voter is still confused. Wright says that if Trump lost Texas, then he would win all the places where he won in 2016, even then he would not get 270 votes.
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